Saturday ITV Racing outsiders: 40-1, 33-1 & 28-1 tips at York 🐎
10 months ago
CHELTENHAM
16 March 2023
Thursday 16th March
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) (Class 1) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 2m 7f 213y
- Going: Soft
- Runners
- 11
- Type
- Hurdle
- Surface
- Turf
- Weather
- Light rain
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
Second to Home By The Lee in the Christmas Hurdle but may find a few too good today
3-2342
Age: 8
Weight: 11-10
OR: 153
Days: 78
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 22 | Leo Leopardstown | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 | 2/11 | Home By The Lee (3L) | 14/1 | 151 | 158 |
| 4 Dec 22 | Fai Fairyhouse | 19.5f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 | 4/8 | Teahupoo (33L) | 20/1 | 152 | 135 |
| 13 Nov 22 | Nav Navan | 20f Y | HG2 | 11-3 | 3/9 | Home By The Lee (12L) | 13/2 | 152 | 147 |
| 28 Apr 22 | Pun Punchestown | 23.5f Gd/Y | HG1 | 11-10 | 2/7 | Klassical Dream (1¼L) | 11/2 | 151 | 158 |
| 16 Mar 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 21f Sft | HcHG3 | 11-7 | 3/23 | Commander Of Fleet (5½L) | 14/1 | 152 | 151 |
| 22 Feb 22 | Nav Navan | 21f Hy | HG2 | 11-8 | 2/9 | Thedevilscoachman (hd) | 9/2 | - | 158 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
C
2 x Course Winner - Won 2 times before at this course
Defied long absence in the Grade 2 Boyne Hurdle and has the potential to be a major player
/111-1
Age: 7
Weight: 11-10
OR: 157
Days: 32
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 23 | Nav Navan | 21f Gd/Y | HG2 | 11-8 | 1/8 | Meet And Greet (3L) | 5/1 | - | 164 |
| 11 Dec 21 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f GS | NvHG2 | 11-3 | 1/6 | Gelino Bello (4¼L) | EvensF | 145 | 150 |
| 12 Nov 21 | Chl Cheltenham | 21f Gd | NvHG2 | 11-0 | 1/6 | Gelino Bello (2½L) | 9/2 | - | 143 |
| 5 Oct 21 | Gal Galway | 19f Sft | MdH | 12-0 | 1/17 | Gringo D'aubrelle (2¾L) | 100/30 | - | 124 |
| 30 Dec 20 | Lim Limerick | 16f Hy | NHF | 11-6 | 1/8 | Grady Hollow (¾L) | 7/2 | - | 111 |
| 11 Dec 20 | Pun Punchestown | 16.5f Hy | 4yNHF | 11-4 | 4/9 | The Banger Doyle (4¾L) | 12/1 | - | 104 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
Creditable second in Cleeve Hurdle over C&D but it's likely he will again come up short
P-1222
Age: 10
Weight: 11-10
OR: 153
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG2 | 11-2 | 2/7 | Gold Tweet (3L) | 3/1 | 151 | 155 |
| 1 Jan 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 20.5f Sft | HG2 | 11-0 | 2/9 | Marie's Rock (6L) | 8/1 | 152 | 151 |
| 3 Dec 22 | Ain Aintree | 25f GS | ChG2 | 11-4 | 2/6 | Noble Yeats (3¼L) | 15/2 | 158 | 163 |
| 5 Nov 22 | Ain Aintree | 20f Sft | 2H | 11-2 | 1/4 | Voix Du Reve (2¾L) | 3/1 | 152 | 143 |
| 19 Feb 22 | Asc Ascot | 21f Sft | ChG1 | 11-7 | PU/8 | Fakir D'oudairies () | 6/1 | 159 | - |
| 23 Jan 22 | Lin Lingfield | 22f Hy | 2Ch | 11-6 | 2/6 | Two For Gold (shd) | 6/4F | 159 | 165 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 24 in the last 14 days (0%)
Has won the last two runnings and will be tough to catch if producing his peak form
212-44
Age: 8
Weight: 11-10
OR: 162
Days: 78
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 22 | Leo Leopardstown | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 t | 4/11 | Home By The Lee (3¾L) | 2/1 | 164 | 158 |
| 13 Nov 22 | Nav Navan | 20f Y | HG2 | 11-12 t | 4/9 | Home By The Lee (12L) | 7/2 | 164 | 156 |
| 9 Apr 22 | Ain Aintree | 24.5f GS | HG1 | 11-7 t | 2/8 | Sire Du Berlais (1¾L) | 11/8F | 164 | 162 |
| 17 Mar 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 t | 1/10 | Thyme Hill (2¾L) | 4/1 | 164 | 166 |
| 28 Dec 21 | Leo Leopardstown | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-12 t | 2/11 | Klassical Dream (2L) | 16/5 | 164 | 166 |
| 7 Nov 21 | Nav Navan | 20f Gd | HG2 | 12-0 t | F/5 | Darasso () | 7/4F | 164 | 166 |
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
Going Specialist - 2 wins from 3 starts on this ground (67%)
French raider who won the Cleeve Hurdle over C&D on first British start; could be involved
3-3121
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 156
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG2 | 11-2 t | 1/7 | Dashel Drasher (3L) | 14/1 | 136 | 157 |
| 31 Dec 22 | Pau Pau | 17.5f VSft | H | 11-3 t | 2/9 | Rosario Baron (1¼L) | 6/4F | - | 137 |
| 15 Nov 22 | Fnt Fontainebleau | 19f VSft | H | 10-12 t | 1/13 | Portivy (¾L) | 19/10F | - | 126 |
| 14 Oct 22 | Tls Toulouse | 17.5f VSft | H | 10-12 ht | 3/7 | Ladyville (44L) | 23/10 | - | 95 |
| 28 Nov 21 | Aut Auteuil | 17.5f Hy | 4yChG3 | 10-10 ht | 3/11 | La Danza (7½L) | 71/10 | - | 140 |
| 7 Nov 21 | Aut Auteuil | 22f Hy | 4yChG1 | 10-10 ht | 3/9 | Let Me Love (3½L) | 28/1 | - | 141 |
9l win in French Grade 2 last time but improvement very much needed on first British start
561351
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 136
Days: 103
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 22 | Aut Auteuil | 21.5f Hy | HG2 | 10-7 | 1/5 | Anouma Freedom (9L) | 48/10 | - | 150 |
| 12 Nov 22 | Aut Auteuil | 24f Hy | HG1 | 10-6 | 5/8 | Theleme (46L) | 14/1 | - | 117 |
| 9 Oct 22 | Aut Auteuil | 19.5f VSft | HcHL | 11-0 | 3/12 | Hano De Loi (7½L) | 16/5F | - | 138 |
| 20 Sep 22 | Aut Auteuil | 19.5f VSft | HcH | 11-1 | 1/7 | Belle Promesse (8L) | 12/5F | - | 150 |
| 11 Jun 22 | Aut Auteuil | 21.5f VSft | HG2 | 10-6 t | 6/9 | Super Alex (9½L) | 13/1 | - | 129 |
| 21 May 22 | Aut Auteuil | 25.5f VSft | HG1 | 10-6 tp | 5/8 | Hermes Baie (43L) | 31/1 | - | 120 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Improved this season, winning the Grade 1 Christmas Hurdle, and is firmly in calculations
26-O11
Age: 8
Weight: 11-10
OR: 157
Days: 78
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 22 | Leo Leopardstown | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 | 1/11 | Ashdale Bob (3L) | 7/1 | 157 | 163 |
| 13 Nov 22 | Nav Navan | 20f Y | HG2 | 11-3 | 1/9 | Bob Olinger (2L) | 28/1 | 150 | 160 |
| 26 Aug 22 | Dro Down Royal | 24f Gd | H | 11-0 | RO/5 | Salvador Ziggy () | 5/2 | 150 | 138 |
| 17 Mar 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 | 6/10 | Flooring Porter (7½L) | 33/1 | 150 | 157 |
| 27 Jan 22 | Gow Gowran Park | 24.5f Sft | HG2 | 11-5 | 2/9 | Royal Kahala (1¾L) | 80/1 | - | 154 |
| 31 Dec 21 | Pun Punchestown | 19f Hy | H | 11-6 | 2/8 | Darver Star (20L) | 12/1 | - | 131 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 3 wins from 5 starts at this distance (60%)
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 6 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (38%)
Six Grade 1 wins; fifth in this last year and may again be vulnerable to stronger stayers
45-122
Age: 9
Weight: 11-10
OR: 162
Days: 102
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 22 | Fai Fairyhouse | 19.5f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 h | 2/8 | Teahupoo (nk) | 5/1 | 163 | 168 |
| 21 May 22 | Aut Auteuil | 25.5f VSft | HG1 | 10-10 h | 2/8 | Hermes Baie (7L) | 37/10 | - | 159 |
| 28 Apr 22 | Pun Punchestown | 23.5f Gd/Y | HG1 | 11-10 h | 1/7 | Ashdale Bob (1¼L) | 11/10F | 163 | 159 |
| 17 Mar 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 h | 5/10 | Flooring Porter (5L) | 11/4F | 166 | 161 |
| 27 Jan 22 | Gow Gowran Park | 24.5f Sft | HG2 | 11-12 h | 4/9 | Royal Kahala (11½L) | 1/3F | 166 | 151 |
| 28 Dec 21 | Leo Leopardstown | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-12 h | 1/11 | Flooring Porter (2L) | 7/4F | 164 | 168 |
CD
4 x C&D Winner - Won 4 times before on this course at this distance
D
9 x Distance Winner - Won 9 times before at this distance
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 17 in the last 14 days (0%)
Below par in the Cleeve but 3rd in last two runnings of this and each-way claims once more
3-5213
Age: 11
Weight: 11-10
OR: 160
Days: 47
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan 23 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG2 | 11-8 t | 3/7 | Gold Tweet (9½L) | 13/8F | 161 | 155 |
| 26 Dec 22 | Kem Kempton | 24.5f Sft | HG1 | 11-7 t | 1/5 | Goshen (4¼L) | 9/2 | 160 | 164 |
| 25 Nov 22 | Nby Newbury | 24f Gd | HG2 | 11-8 t | 2/5 | Champ (nk) | 6/1 | 160 | 162 |
| 28 Apr 22 | Pun Punchestown | 23.5f Gd/Y | HG1 | 11-10 t | 5/7 | Klassical Dream (6¼L) | 7/1 | 159 | 153 |
| 17 Mar 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 t | 3/10 | Flooring Porter (2¾L) | 17/2 | 161 | 162 |
| 29 Jan 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 24f Gd | HG2 | 11-6 t | 1/5 | Champ (3¼L) | 5/1 | 158 | 161 |
CD
2 x C&D Winner - Won 2 times before on this course at this distance
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 12 in the last 14 days (0%)
11yo who hasn't been at his best lately but has an excellent record at Cheltenham Festival
-455P4
Age: 11
Weight: 11-10
OR: 152
Days: 32
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 23 | Nav Navan | 21f Gd/Y | HG2 | 11-12 tb | 4/8 | Blazing Khal (10L) | 28/1 | 147 | 156 |
| 28 Dec 22 | Leo Leopardstown | 24f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 tb | PU/11 | Home By The Lee () | 22/1 | 150 | - |
| 4 Dec 22 | Fai Fairyhouse | 19.5f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 tb | 5/8 | Teahupoo (33L) | 66/1 | 154 | 135 |
| 13 Nov 22 | Nav Navan | 20f Y | HG2 | 11-12 tb | 5/9 | Home By The Lee (20L) | 22/1 | 155 | 148 |
| 28 Apr 22 | Pun Punchestown | 23.5f Gd/Y | HG1 | 11-10 tb | 4/7 | Klassical Dream (4L) | 7/1 | 160 | 155 |
| 9 Apr 22 | Ain Aintree | 24.5f GS | HG1 | 11-7 tb | 1/8 | Flooring Porter (1¾L) | 16/1 | 156 | 163 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Easily won the Grade 2 Galmoy Hurdle at Gowran last time and he's a leading contender
19-611
Age: 6
Weight: 11-10
OR: 163
Days: 49
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 23 | Gow Gowran Park | 24.5f Sft/Hy | HG2 | 11-12 | 1/6 | Summerville Boy (15L) | 4/11F | 163 | 168 |
| 4 Dec 22 | Fai Fairyhouse | 19.5f Sft | HG1 | 11-10 | 1/8 | Klassical Dream (nk) | 20/1 | 158 | 168 |
| 29 Apr 22 | Pun Punchestown | 16f Gd/Y | HG1 | 11-12 | 6/6 | Honeysuckle (25L) | 12/1 | 160 | 140 |
| 15 Mar 22 | Chl Cheltenham | 16.5f GS | HG1 | 11-10 | 9/10 | Honeysuckle (33L) | 9/1 | 162 | 135 |
| 19 Feb 22 | Gow Gowran Park | 16f Hy | HG3 | 11-10 | 1/7 | Darasso (11L) | 13/8F | 149 | 165 |
| 29 Dec 21 | Lim Limerick | 16f Hy | 4yHG2 | 11-10 | 1/6 | Quilixios (½L) | 8/15F | 149 | 152 |
Verdict
On form there is no standout candidate and at big odds a chance is taken on SIRE DU BERLAIS, who has an excellent Festival record.
Sire Du Berlais
Betting Forecast:
11/4 Blazing Khal,
3/1 Teahupoo,
11/2 Flooring Porter,
6/1 Home By The Lee,
8/1 Klassical Dream,
10/1 Gold Tweet,
14/1 Paisley Park,
25/1 Ashdale Bob,
Dashel Drasher,
Henri Le Farceur,
50/1 Sire Du Berlais
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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