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4 May 2024
Saturday 4th May

AUS

tips and comments for every race

USA

tips and comments for every race

Churchill Downs Tips

17:36 18:14 18:56 19:46 20:40 21:31 22:27 23:57
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection

Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (Grade 1) (3yo) (Main Track) (Dirt) Racecard

  • Channel: SK/RT
  • Distance: 1m 2f
  • Going: Sloppy
Runners
20

Type
All Weather

Surface
Dirt

Selection

No myracing analysis available for this race

No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
1
(1)
Dornoch silk
Dornoch b
J: Luis Saez
T: Danny Gargan
Brother to last year's winner Mage; behind three of these in the Blue Grass at Keeneland
41-112
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Kee Keeneland 9f Fs 3yG1 8-11 b 4/10 Sierra Leone (6½L) 53/20 - 105
2 Mar 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 8.5f Fs 3yG2 8-11 b 1/5 Le Dom Bro (1¾L) 1/5F - 107
2 Dec 23 Aqu Aqueduct 9f M 2yG2 8-6 b 1/10 Sierra Leone (nse) 17/10F - 104
26 Aug 23 Mon Monmouth Park 8f Fs 2yL 8-7 b 2/9 Noted (1L) 6/4F - 101
29 Jul 23 Sar Saratoga 6.5f S 2y 8-7 b1 2/10 Seize The Grey (1¾L) 13/5 - -
2
(2)
Sierra Leone silk
Sierra Leone b
J: Tyler Gaffalione
T: Chad C Brown
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 5 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (28%)
2-2 this term, most recently 1m1f Grade 1 Blue Grass at Keeneland
11-21
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Kee Keeneland 9f Fs 3yG1 8-11 b 1/10 Just A Touch (1½L) 5/3F - 122
18 Feb 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9f S 3yG2 8-10 b1 1/12 Track Phantom (½L) 27/10F - 118
2 Dec 23 Aqu Aqueduct 9f M 2yG2 8-6 2/10 Dornoch (nse) 4/1 - 104
4 Nov 23 Aqu Aqueduct 8f Fs 2y 8-7 1/7 Change Of Command (1¼L) 16/5 - -
3
(3)
Mystik Dan silk
Mystik Dan
J: Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr
T: Kenneth McPeek
Troubled third in 1m1f Grade 1 Arkansas Derby latest (behind Just Steel); others stronger
315-51
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
30 Mar 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 9f Fs 3yG1 8-12 3/10 Muth (6¼L) 4/1 - 110
3 Feb 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f M 3yG3 8-6 1/11 Just Steel (8L) 114/10 - 117
1 Jan 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f Fs 3y 8-5 5/9 Catching Freedom (3½L) 79/10 - -
4
(4)
Catching Freedom silk
Catching Freedom b
J: Flavien Prat
T: Brad H Cox
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 4 wins from 13 in the last 14 days (31%)
More professional when improved last-to-first winner of 9.5f G2 Louisiana Derby
131-41
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
23 Mar 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9.5f Fs 3yG2 8-10 b 1/11 Honor Marie (1L) 33/10 - 116
18 Feb 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9f S 3yG2 8-10 b 3/12 Sierra Leone (1¾L) 57/10 - 114
1 Jan 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f Fs 3y 8-5 b 1/9 Just Steel (2½L) 17/10F - -
1 Jan 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f Fs 3yL 8-5 1/9 Just Steel (2½L) 17/10F - 107
1 Oct 23 Chu Churchill Downs 8f Fs 2y 8-7 b1 1/9 Cash Only (3¾L) 23/20F - -
5
(5)
Catalytic silk
Catalytic
J: Jose L Ortiz
T: Saffie A Joseph Jr
Chased Fierceness for 13.5l second in 1m1f Grade 1 Florida Derby at Gulfstream
22-1
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
30 Mar 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 9f Fs 3yG1 8-10 2/9 Fierceness (13½L) 29/1 - 92
8 Mar 24 Tmp Tampa Bay Downs 6f Fs 3yCl 8-6 2/3 Classic Joke (¾L) 13/10F - -
7 Oct 23 Gul Gulfstream Park 6.5f Fs 2y 8-6 1/10 Secret Lover (5½L) 17/5 - -
6
(6)
Just Steel silk
Just Steel b
J: Keith J Asmussen
T: D Wayne Lukas
Had some tough trips before improved second in 1m1f Grade 1 Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn
2722-1
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
30 Mar 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 9f Fs 3yG1 8-12 b 2/10 Muth (2L) 33/1 - 119
24 Feb 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f Fs 3yG2 8-5 b 7/12 Timberlake (10L) 47/10 - 84
3 Feb 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f M 3yG3 8-5 b 2/11 Mystik Dan (8L) 103/10 - 96
1 Jan 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f Fs 3y 8-7 b 2/9 Catching Freedom (2½L) 9/2 - -
1 Jan 24 Oak Oaklawn Park 8.5f Fs 3yL 8-7 2/9 Catching Freedom (2½L) 9/2 - 104
25 Nov 23 Chu Churchill Downs 6.5f Fs 2y 8-10 b 1/8 Agoo (2½L) 125/10 - -
7
(7)
Honor Marie silk
Honor Marie
J: Ben Curtis
T: D Whitworth Beckman
Grade 2 winner here; most recently second to Catching Freedom in 9.5f Louisiana Derby
25-121
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
23 Mar 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9.5f Fs 3yG2 8-10 2/11 Catching Freedom (1L) 78/10 - 114
18 Feb 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9f S 3yG2 8-10 5/12 Sierra Leone (6¼L) 73/10 - 105
25 Nov 23 Chu Churchill Downs 8.5f Fs 2yG2 8-10 1/8 Real Men Violin (2L) 44/5 - 115
8
(8)
Just A Touch silk
Just A Touch
J: Florent Geroux
T: Brad H Cox
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 3 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (30%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 4 wins from 13 in the last 14 days (31%)
Second to Sierra Leone in the 1m1f Blue Grass at Keeneland latest; should keep progressing
221
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Kee Keeneland 9f Fs 3yG1 8-11 2/10 Sierra Leone (1½L) 33/10 - 116
2 Mar 24 Aqu Aqueduct 8f S 3yG3 8-6 2/11 Deterministic (2L) 17/10F - 96
27 Jan 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 6f S 3y 8-8 1/8 Gun Party (4¼L) 1/2F - -
10
(9)
T O Password silk
T O Password
J: Kazushi Kimura
T: Daisuke Takayanagi
Would be shocking winner coming off two minor starts/victories in 1m1f dirt races in Japan
11
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
23 Mar 24 Nak Nakayama 9f St 3y 9-0 1/11 Arare Tabashiru (hd) 136/10 - -
6 Jan 24 Kyo Kyoto 9f St 3y 9-0 1/16 Smart Lia Fail (2L) 13/5 - -
11
(10)
Forever Young silk
Forever Young
J: Ryusei Sakai
T: Yoshito Yahagi
Japanese runner is unbeaten in five, the last two on his travels in Saudi Arabia and Dubai
11-111
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
30 Mar 24 Mey Meydan 9.5f Fs 3yG2 8-9 1/11 Auto Bahn (2L) 8/11F 113 113
24 Feb 24 Jan Riyadh 8f Fs 3yG3 8-9 1/12 Book'em Danno (hd) 8/13F - 105
13 Dec 23 Kaw Kawasaki 8f St 2yL 8-11 1/12 Aigle Noir (7L) 11/10F - 110
3 Nov 23 Mom Mombetsu 9f St 2yL 8-9 1/12 Sunrise Zipangu (1½L) - 105
12
(11)
Track Phantom silk
BF
Track Phantom b 1
J: Joel Rosario
T: Steven Asmussen
BF
Beaten Favourite - Losing favourite last time out
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 0 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (0%)
Front-runner; maiden win came here; beaten in Derby trials last two starts; now blinkered
421-11
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
23 Mar 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9.5f Fs 3yG2 8-10 4/11 Catching Freedom (2½L) 2/1F - 111
18 Feb 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9f S 3yG2 8-10 2/12 Sierra Leone (½L) 3/1 - 117
20 Jan 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-10 1/6 Nash (2¾L) 7/5 - 120
23 Dec 23 Fgr Fair Grounds 8.5f Fs 2y 8-10 1/7 Snead (1¼L) 49/10 - -
25 Nov 23 Chu Churchill Downs 8.5f Fs 2y 8-7 1/12 Lat Long (4¾L) 21/10F - -
13
(12)
West Saratoga silk
West Saratoga b
J: Jesus Lopez Castanon
T: Larry Demeritte
Stalked pace en route to winning 1m Grade 3 here last year, but needs major career best
232-51
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
23 Mar 24 Twp Turfway Park 9f Fs 3yG3 8-11 b 2/10 Endlessly (4L) 36/1 - 99
10 Feb 24 Tmp Tampa Bay Downs 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-10 b 3/12 No More Time (6½L) 31/1 - -
13 Jan 24 Tmp Tampa Bay Downs 7f Fs 3y 8-12 b 2/6 Book'em Danno (12½L) 9/2 - 72
7 Oct 23 Kee Keeneland 8.5f Fs 2yG1 8-10 b 5/8 Locked (11L) 175/10 - 88
16 Sep 23 Chu Churchill Downs 8f Fs 2yG3 8-10 b 1/8 Risk It (1¾L) 125/10 - 102
21 Jul 23 Els Ellis Park 7f Fs 2y 8-7 b 2/9 Timberlake (9¼L) 44/5 - -
14
(13)
Endlessly silk
Endlessly
J: Umberto Rispoli
T: Michael McCarthy
Turf bred runner with couple of off-the-pace 1m1f AW wins this year, G3 latest; dirt debut
11-811
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 42
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
23 Mar 24 Twp Turfway Park 9f Fs 3yG3 8-11 1/10 West Saratoga (4L) 29/20F - 108
11 Feb 24 Gol Golden Gate Fields 9f Fs 3yL 8-10 1/8 Tapalo (1¼L) 7/10F - 104
3 Nov 23 Sna Santa Anita 8f Fm 2yG1 8-10 8/11 Unquestionable (3¾L) 51/10 - 102
8 Oct 23 Sna Santa Anita 8f Fm 2yG3 8-12 1/8 Ngannou (2¼L) 4/5F - 106
11 Sep 23 Dma Del Mar 8f Fm 2yG3 8-8 1/8 Lord Bullingdon (2¼L) 14/5 - 100
30 Jul 23 Dma Del Mar 8f Fm 2y 8-8 1/8 Track And Field (2¼L) 29/10 - -
15
(14)
Domestic Product silk
Domestic Product
J: Irad Ortiz Jr
T: Chad C Brown
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 5 wins from 17 in the last 14 days (29%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 5 wins from 18 in the last 14 days (28%)
Picked up off steady pace for narrow win in 8.5f Grade 3 Tampa Bay Derby (fast track)
12-715
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 56
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
9 Mar 24 Tmp Tampa Bay Downs 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-8 1/10 No More Time (nk) - 114
3 Feb 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-6 2/7 Hades (2L) 144/10 - 112
2 Dec 23 Aqu Aqueduct 9f M 2yG2 8-6 b 7/10 Dornoch (16½L) 17/2 - 70
16
(15)
Grand Mo The First silk
Grand Mo The First
J: Emisael Jaramillo
T: Victor Barboza Jr
16l third behind front-running Fierceness (also behind Catalytic) in the Florida Derby
333-31
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
30 Mar 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 9f Fs 3yG1 8-10 3/9 Fierceness (16L) 215/10 - 86
9 Mar 24 Tmp Tampa Bay Downs 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-8 3/10 Domestic Product (½L) - 113
3 Feb 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 7f Fs 3yL 8-8 3/7 Frankie's Empire (4¼L) 78/10 - -
8 Oct 23 Sna Santa Anita 8f Fm 2yG3 8-8 3/8 Endlessly (3½L) 15/2 - 94
1 Sep 23 Gul Gulfstream Park 5.5f Fs 2yCl 8-8 1/6 Prevent (nk) 3/5F - -
6 Aug 23 Gul Gulfstream Park 5f Fs 2y 8-6 1/8 Catch A Tiger (2¼L) 9/5 - -
17
(16)
Fierceness silk
Fierceness
J: John R Velazquez
T: Todd Pletcher
Has top-class ability, but was able to set an ordinary tempo when winning Florida Derby
13-171
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 35
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
30 Mar 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 9f Fs 3yG1 8-10 1/9 Catalytic (13½L) 11/10F - 125
3 Feb 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-12 3/7 Hades (3½L) 1/5F - 115
3 Nov 23 Sna Santa Anita 8.5f Fs 2yG1 8-10 1/9 Muth (6¼L) 165/10 - 118
7 Oct 23 Bba Belmont At The Big A 8f S 2yG1 8-10 7/8 Timberlake (20L) 11/20F - 68
25 Aug 23 Sar Saratoga 6f M 2y 8-7 1/8 Air Of Defiance (11½L) 11/10F - -
18
(17)
Stronghold silk
Stronghold
J: Antonio Fresu
T: Philip D'Amato
Won both starts this year but needs to run faster than for narrow win in Santa Anita Derby
11-221
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 27
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
7 Apr 24 Sna Santa Anita 9f Fs 3yG1 8-12 1/8 Imagination (nk) 11/5 - 112
18 Feb 24 Snl Sunland Park 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-10 1/8 Alotaluck (2½L) 6/5F - 110
17 Dec 23 Lal Los Alamitos 8.5f Fs 2yG2 8-8 2/5 Wynstock (½L) 41/10 - 106
19 Nov 23 Dma Del Mar 7f Fs 2yG3 8-8 2/4 Nysos (8¾L) 9/2 - 93
27 Aug 23 Els Ellis Park 6f Fs 2y 8-7 2/8 Awesome Road (2¾L) 107/20 - -
19
(18)
Resilience silk
Resilience b
J: Junior Alvarado
T: William Mott
Won 1m1f Grade 2 Wood Memorial with blinkers added at Aqueduct, but this demands more
141-32
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Aqu Aqueduct 9f Fs 3yG2 8-11 b1 1/12 Society Man (2¼L) 9/2 - 113
18 Feb 24 Fgr Fair Grounds 9f S 3yG2 8-10 4/12 Sierra Leone (3½L) 169/10 - 111
1 Jan 24 Gul Gulfstream Park 8.5f Fs 3y 8-6 1/8 Skip The Line (4¼L) 13/10F - -
12 Nov 23 Chu Churchill Downs 8.5f Fs 2y 8-7 3/9 Nash (11½L) 462/100 - -
20
(19)
Society Man silk
Society Man
J: Frankie Dettori
T: Danny Gargan
Frankie's mount is steadily progressive but needs to do more than when 2nd to Resilience
218-37
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Aqu Aqueduct 9f Fs 3yG2 8-11 2/12 Resilience (2¼L) 107/1 - 106
9 Mar 24 Aqu Aqueduct 8f M 3y 8-8 1/7 True Connection (3L) 18/5 - -
3 Feb 24 Aqu Aqueduct 9f M 3yG3 8-6 8/9 Uncle Heavy (15½L) 226/10 - 63
21
(20)
Epic Ride silk
Epic Ride
J: Adam Beschizza
T: John Ennis
3rd behind two of these when switched to dirt in the 1m1f Grade 1 Blue Grass at Keeneland
3211-2
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Kee Keeneland 9f Fs 3yG1 8-11 3/10 Sierra Leone (5¼L) 51/1 - 108
3 Mar 24 Twp Turfway Park 8.5f Fs 3yL 8-12 2/11 Encino (1L) 23/20F - 100
2 Feb 24 Twp Turfway Park 8f Fs 3y 8-8 1/6 Blue Eyed George (4L) 9/5 - -
6 Jan 24 Twp Turfway Park 6f Fs 8-8 1/12 Bowstreet (5L) 49/20 - -
9 Dec 23 Twp Turfway Park 6f Fs 2y 8-8 2/11 Smokey Smokey (nk) 94/10 - -
9
Encino silk
Encino
T: Brad H Cox
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 4 wins from 13 in the last 14 days (31%)
111-2
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 21
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
13 Apr 24 Kee Keeneland 8.5f Fs 3yG3 8-6 1/9 The Wine Steward (¾L) 33/10 - 115
3 Mar 24 Twp Turfway Park 8.5f Fs 3yL 8-6 1/11 Epic Ride (1L) 57/10 - 97
27 Jan 24 Twp Turfway Park 8.5f Fs 3y 8-8 1/12 Phreddie Mac (½L) 8/11F - -
30 Dec 23 Twp Turfway Park 8f Fs 2y 8-3 2/12 Stingy (nk) 21/10F - -
22
Mugatu silk
Mugatu b
T: Jeff Engler
58433-
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
OR: -
Days: 28
Date Course Race Type Weight Pos 1st/2nd SP OR RPR
6 Apr 24 Kee Keeneland 9f Fs 3yG1 8-11 b 5/10 Sierra Leone (7½L) 181/1 - 103
23 Mar 24 Twp Turfway Park 8.5f Fs 3y 8-6 b 8/11 Trikari (1½L) 26/1 - 99
3 Mar 24 Twp Turfway Park 8.5f Fs 3yL 8-6 b 4/11 Encino (7½L) 68/1 - 80
11 Feb 24 Twp Turfway Park 8f Fs 3y 8-10 b 3/7 Tennessee (9L) 43/20 - 80
12 Oct 23 Kee Keeneland 8f Fm 2y 8-7 10/10 Frontline Warrior (7½L) 34/1 - -
31 Jul 23 Els Ellis Park 8f Fm 2y 8-7 2/10 Blue Eyed George (1¾L) 74/10 - -
Verdict

Loads of runners as usual but many of these can be discounted and SIERRA LEONE appeals as a solid option.

Verdict silk image
Sierra Leone

Betting Forecast:

11/4 Sierra Leone,

3/1 Fierceness,

8/1 Forever Young,

10/1 Catching Freedom,

Just A Touch,

16/1 Stronghold,

20/1 Honor Marie,

25/1 Dornoch,

Mystik Dan,

Society Man,

Just Steel,

T O Password,

Resilience,

Endlessly,

Domestic Product,

33/1 Track Phantom,

40/1 Catalytic,

Epic Ride,

50/1 West Saratoga,

66/1 Grand Mo The First

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