'You can forget about mudlarks' - Three fast ground horses to follow at Wincanton
3 weeks ago
THIRSK
12 April 2025
Saturday 12th April
Yellow underlined races have a myracing selection
British EBF Michael Foster Conditions Stakes (Class 3) Racecard
- Channel:
- Distance: 7f
- Going: Good
- Runners
- 6
- Type
- Flat
- Surface
- Turf
- Stalls
- Inside
- Weather
- Partly cloudy
Selection
No myracing analysis available for this race
-
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Racecard
No.(Draw)
Runner
Best Odds
CD
C&D Winner - Won before on this course at this distance
D
7 x Distance Winner - Won 7 times before at this distance
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 6 wins from 23 in the last 14 days (26%)
Hot Recent Form Trainer - 3 wins from 10 in the last 14 days (30%)
C&D winner; fine servant on AW; drying ground a query and has to concede weight all round
5716-1
Age: 6
Weight: 9-11
OR: 108
Days: -
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 25 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 3 | 9-11 | 2/6 | Paborus (2¼L) | 4/1 | 108 | - |
| 26 Mar 25 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 2Hc | 9-10 | 1/9 | Local Hero (hd) | 7/2 | 106 | 115 |
| 4 Dec 24 | Dea Deauville | 7.5f St | L | 9-2 | 6/14 | Fast Raaj (3½L) | 16/5 | - | 105 |
| 3 Nov 24 | Dea Deauville | 7f St | L | 9-1 | 1/12 | Fast Raaj (¾L) | 21/10F | - | 113 |
| 15 Sep 24 | Lon Longchamp | 7f Sft | G3 | 9-2 | 7/9 | Topgear (5¾L) | 11/1 | - | 98 |
| 20 Jun 24 | Lon Longchamp | 7f Sft | G3 | 9-4 | 5/9 | King Gold (2L) | 11/2 | - | 106 |
C
Course Winner - Won before at this course
D
5 x Distance Winner - Won 5 times before at this distance
Cold Recent Form Trainer - 0 wins from 19 in the last 14 days (0%)
Ended 2024 with some fine runs, including an Ascot win (7f); headgear absent on return
52182-
Age: 7
Weight: 9-8
OR: 106
Days: -
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 25 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 3 | 9-8 | 5/6 | Paborus (6L) | 11/2 | 106 | - |
| 5 Oct 24 | Red Redcar | 7f Sft | L | 9-2 p | 2/6 | Grey's Monument (½L) | 6/1 | 106 | 108 |
| 21 Sep 24 | Ayr Ayr | 6f GF | 2Hc | 9-11 p | 8/25 | Lethal Levi (4¼L) | 50/1 | 106 | 104 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f GF | 2Hc | 9-10 p1 | 1/18 | New Image (nk) | 22/1 | 102 | 112 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Yor York | 8f GS | 2Hc | 10-2 | 2/14 | Blue For You (1¼L) | 13/2 | 102 | 109 |
| 20 Jun 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f GF | 2Hc | 9-12 | 5/26 | English Oak (6L) | 12/1 | 103 | 102 |
D
3 x Distance Winner - Won 3 times before at this distance
Distance Specialist - 4 wins from 5 starts at this distance (80%)
Hot Recent Form Jockey - 4 wins from 16 in the last 14 days (25%)
Unexposed and progressive; ran away with 7f AW handicap when last seen; interesting
/1171-
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 103
Days: -
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 25 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 3 | 9-8 | 1/6 | Mount Athos (2¼L) | 6/4F | 103 | - |
| 17 Oct 24 | Sth Southwell (AW) | 7f St | 2Hc | 9-2 | 1/12 | Bobby Bennu (5L) | 3/1F | 90 | 109 |
| 23 Aug 24 | Yor York | 8f GF | 23yHc | 8-13 | 7/16 | Treasure Time (7½L) | 8/1 | 90 | 84 |
| 20 May 24 | Crl Carlisle | 7f GF | 5Nv | 9-9 | 1/11 | Jonny Concrete (3L) | EvensF | - | 91 |
| 2 May 24 | Red Redcar | 7f Sft | 53yNv | 9-4 | 1/12 | Roberto Caro (3¾L) | 9/4F | - | 85 |
| 18 Aug 23 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 42yNv | 9-4 | 4/9 | Sailthisshipalone (5¼L) | 11/2 | - | 68 |
D
6 x Distance Winner - Won 6 times before at this distance
Tough performer; as good as ever in 2024; beaten in this race on return in 2022 and 2024
01925-
Age: 7
Weight: 9-8
OR: 100
Days: -
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 25 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 3 | 9-8 t | 6/6 | Paborus (7¾L) | 28/1 | 100 | - |
| 4 Nov 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 7f St/Slw | 2Hc | 9-11 t | 5/9 | Heathcliff (3¾L) | 40/1 | 101 | 102 |
| 13 Oct 24 | Goo Goodwood | 8f Hy | 2Hc | 10-0 t | 2/8 | Alpha Crucis (½L) | 4/1 | 99 | 107 |
| 5 Oct 24 | Asc Ascot | 7f Sft | 2Hc | 9-11 t | 9/18 | Volterra (7L) | 33/1 | 103 | 101 |
| 25 Sep 24 | Goo Goodwood | 8f Hy | 2Hc | 9-9 t | 1/6 | Thunder Ball (1L) | 3/1 | 97 | 105 |
| 25 Aug 24 | Goo Goodwood | 7f GS | 2Hc | 9-8 t | 12/14 | Qirat (5¾L) | 16/1 | 99 | 96 |
Cold Recent Form Jockey - 1 wins from 23 in the last 14 days (4%)
High-class 2yo; absent since the 2023 Dewhurst; returns at realistic level; check betting
21317/
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
OR: 102
Days: -
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 25 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 3 | 9-4 | 3/6 | Paborus (4L) | 15/2 | 102 | - |
| 14 Oct 23 | Nmk Newmarket | 7f Sft | 2yG1 | 9-3 | 7/8 | City Of Troy (12½L) | 28/1 | 102 | 87 |
| 23 Sep 23 | Nby Newbury | 6f Hy | 2yG2 | 9-3 | 1/6 | Mister Sketch (½L) | 7/4F | 100 | 103 |
| 9 Sep 23 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 6f St/Slw | 2yG3 | 9-3 | 3/8 | Starlust (¾L) | 11/8F | 90 | 96 |
| 19 Aug 23 | Nmk Newmarket (July) | 6f Gd | 42yNv | 9-4 | 1/6 | Robbo (4¼L) | 2/13F | - | 92 |
| 1 Aug 23 | Goo Goodwood | 6f GS | 22yMd | 9-2 | 2/13 | Mansa Musa (shd) | 4/6F | - | 87 |
D
Distance Winner - Won before at this distance
Group 2 win in 2023 but 0-7 last year; other pace influences to contend with
04795-
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
OR: 103
Days: -
| Date | Course | Race | Type | Weight | Pos | 1st/2nd | SP | OR | RPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 25 | Thi Thirsk | 7f Gd | 3 | 9-4 | 4/6 | Paborus (4L) | 7/2 | 103 | - |
| 4 Dec 24 | Kem Kempton (AW) | 8f St/Slw | L | 9-6 | 5/9 | Poker Face (4½L) | 18/1 | 105 | 103 |
| 14 Sep 24 | Leo Leopardstown | 8f Gd | G2 | 9-10 | 9/11 | Diego Velazquez (5¾L) | 28/1 | 107 | 105 |
| 24 Aug 24 | Yor York | 9f GF | G3 | 9-7 | 7/9 | See The Fire (5½L) | 25/1 | 108 | 105 |
| 28 Jul 24 | Pon Pontefract | 8f GF | L | 9-7 p1 | 4/7 | Point Lynas (7¾L) | 100/30 | 110 | 97 |
| 18 Jun 24 | Asc Ascot | 8f GF | G1 | 9-2 | 12/13 | Charyn (45L) | 66/1 | 112 | 20 |
Verdict
Mount Athos is solid despite a big penalty but PABORUS was firmly on the up in 2024 and can continue that progression this season.
Paborus
Betting Forecast:
5/2 Mount Athos,
11/4 Paborus,
4/1 Northern Express,
5/1 Array,
7/1 Flight Plan,
10/1 Rhoscolyn
Relevant Tips
No tips currently available.
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